Publications

Journal articles · Proceedings · Other papers · Book chapters · Policy reports · Datasets

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Journal articles

2025

Semieniuk, G., I. Weber, I. Weaver, E. Wasner, B. Braun, P. Holden, P. Salas, J.-F. Mercure & N. Edwards. 2025. “Best of Times, Worst of Times: Record Fossil Fuel Profits, Inflation and Inequality.” Energy Research and Social Science 127: 104221.Covered by the New York Times, Financial Times, Guardian & 65 other news outlets.
Heun, M., G. Semieniuk & P. Brockway. 2025. “Energetic and Economic Aspects of Rebound, Part II: Applications of the Framework.” Energy Journal, early view.
Heun, M., G. Semieniuk & P. Brockway. 2025. “Energetic and Economic Aspects of Rebound, Part I: Foundations of a Rigorous Analytical Framework.” Energy Journal 46(5): 245–307.
Chancel, L., C. Mohren, P. Bothe & G. Semieniuk. 2025. “How Will Climate Change Affect the Global Distribution of Wealth?” Nature Climate Change 15(4): 364–374.

2024

Semieniuk, G. 2024. “Inconsistent Definitions of GDP: Implications for Estimates of Decoupling.” Ecological Economics 215: 108000.
Trotter, P., V. Foster, S. Werner, …, G. Semieniuk, …, P. Yang. 2024. “Development and Diversification Pathways for Fossil Fuel-Producing Low and Lower-Middle Income Countries in a Carbon-Constrained World.” Nature Energy 9(2): 242–250.
Bustamante, M., J. Roy, D. Ospina, …, G. Semieniuk, …, J. Zscheischler. 2024. “Ten New Insights in Climate Science 2023.” Global Sustainability 7(e19): 1–30.

2023

Semieniuk, G. 2023. “Growth Phantoms: A Note on Classical Accounting for GDP and Decoupling from Environmental Impact.” New School Economic Review 12: 80–92.
Semieniuk, G., L. Chancel, E. Saïsset, P. Holden, J.-F. Mercure & N. Edwards. 2023. “Potential Pension Fund Losses Should Not Deter High-Income Countries from Bold Climate Action.” Joule 7(7): 1383–1386.Covered by 25 news outlets, including the Guardian and Financial Times.
Semieniuk, G., J. Ghosh & N. Folbre. 2023. “Technical Comment on ‘Fairness Considerations in Global Mitigation Investments’.” Science 380(6646): eadg5893.

2022

Semieniuk, G., P. Holden, J.-F. Mercure, P. Salas, H. Pollitt, K. Jobson, P. Vercoulen, U. Chewpreecha, N. Edwards & J. Viñuales. 2022. “Stranded Fossil-Fuel Assets Translate to Major Losses for Investors in Advanced Economies.” Nature Climate Change 12(6): 532–538.Top 1% cited in field (Web of Science). Covered by 88 news outlets, incl. Guardian, Financial Times & Bloomberg; 13 policy citations.

2021

Mercure, J.-F., P. Salas, P. Vercoulen, G. Semieniuk, A. Lam, H. Pollitt, P. Holden, N. Vakilifard, U. Chewpreecha, N. Edwards & J. Viñuales. 2021. “Reframing Incentives for Climate Policy Action.” Nature Energy 5(12): 1133–1143.Covered by 37 news outlets, including a Guardian exclusive.
Semieniuk, G., L. Taylor, A. Rezai & D. Foley. 2021. “Plausible Energy Demand Patterns in a Growing Global Economy with Climate Policy.” Nature Climate Change 11(4): 313–318.
Brockway, P., S. Sorrell, G. Semieniuk, M. Heun & V. Court. 2021. “Energy Efficiency and Economy-Wide Rebound Effects: A Review of the Evidence and Its Implications.” Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 141: 110781.Top 1% cited in field (Web of Science); 20 policy citations.
Semieniuk, G., E. Campiglio, J.-F. Mercure, U. Volz & N. Edwards. 2021. “Low-Carbon Transition Risks for Finance.” WIREs Climate Change 12(1): e678.Top 1% cited in field (Web of Science); 5 policy citations.
Brutscher, P., P. Ravillard & G. Semieniuk. 2021. “Do Firms With Higher Energy Efficiency Have Better Access to Finance?” Energy Journal 42(6): 171–196.

2020

Semieniuk, G. & I. Weber. 2020. “Inequality in Energy Consumption: Statistical Equilibrium or a Question of Accounting Conventions?” European Physical Journal: Special Topics 229: 1705–1714.
Semieniuk, G. & V. Yakovenko. 2020. “Historical Evolution of Global Inequality in Carbon Emissions and Footprints versus Redistributive Scenarios.” Journal of Cleaner Production 264: 121420.
Deleidi, M., M. Mazzucato & G. Semieniuk. 2020. “Neither Crowding In nor Out: Public Direct Investment Mobilising Private Investment into Renewable Electricity Projects.” Energy Policy 140: 111195.39 policy citations.

2019

Weber, I. & G. Semieniuk. 2019. “American Radical Economists in Mao’s China: From Hopes to Disillusionment.” Research in the History of Economic Thought and Methodology 37(A): 31–63.Warren Samuels Prize for Interdisciplinary Research in the History of Economic Thought and Methodology.

2018

Mazzucato, M. & G. Semieniuk. 2018. “Financing Renewable Energy: Who Is Financing What, and Why It Matters.” Technological Forecasting and Social Change 127: 8–22.Top 1% cited in field (Web of Science); 96 policy citations.

2017

Mazzucato, M. & G. Semieniuk. 2017. “Public Financing of Innovation: New Questions.” Oxford Review of Economic Policy 33(1): 24–48.Referenced by 11 policy sources.
Semieniuk, G. 2017. “Piketty’s Elasticity of Substitution: A Critique.” Review of Political Economy 29(1): 64–79.
Scharfenaker, E. & G. Semieniuk. 2017. “A Statistical Equilibrium Approach to the Distribution of Profit Rates.” Metroeconomica 68(3): 465–499.

Proceedings

Scharfenaker, E. & G. Semieniuk. 2015. “A Mixture Model for Filtering Firms’ Profit Rates.” Springer Proceedings in Mathematics and Statistics 126: 153–164.

Non-peer-reviewed papers & reviews

Rosenow, S., S. Chaudhury, G. Semieniuk & E. Timmis. 2025. “Clean Tech Manufacturing Opportunities in Central and Eastern Europe: Export and Investment Implications.” World Bank Policy Research Working Paper 11035.
Espagne, E., W. Oman, J.-F. Mercure, R. Svartzman, U. Volz, H. Pollitt, G. Semieniuk & E. Campiglio. 2023. “Cross-Border Risks of a Global Economy in Mid-Transition.” IMF Working Paper 2023/184.
Semieniuk, G. & P. Holden. 2022. “Fossil-Fuel Stranded Asset Risks Held by Individuals in OECD Countries and Non-OECD Governments.” Nature Climate Change 12(6): 510–511.
Semieniuk, G. 2022. “Industrial Policies and the Competition for Low-Carbon Manufacturing.” Joule 6(4): 713–715.
Lamperti, F., M. Mazzucato, A. Roventini & G. Semieniuk. 2019. “The Green Transition: Public Policy, Finance and the Role of the State.” Vierteljahreshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung 88(2): 73–88.

Book chapters

Jakob, M. & G. Semieniuk. 2023. “Stranded Assets and Implications for Financial Markets.” In N. Apergis, ed., Encyclopedia of Monetary Policy, Financial Markets, Climate Change, and Banking. Academic Press, 374–379.
Semieniuk, G. & M. Mazzucato. 2019. “Financing Green Growth.” In R. Fouquet, ed., Handbook on Green Growth. Cheltenham: Elgar.
Mazzucato, M., G. Semieniuk, et al. 2018. “Bridging the Gap: The Role of Innovation Policy and Market Creation.” In Emissions Gap Report 2018. UNEP.
Semieniuk, G., T. v. Treeck & A. Truger. 2012. “Nothing Learned from the Crisis? Some Remarks on the Stability Programmes 2011–2014 of the Euro Area Governments.” In J. Jesperson & M. Madsen, eds., Keynes’s General Theory for Today. Cheltenham: Elgar.

Policy reports

Estévez, I., N. Grimblatt, A. Arauz, M.T. Kane, S. Vásquez, G. Semieniuk, J. Schollmeyer & I.M. Weber. 2026. “Buyers’ Clubs as Industrial Policy: Demand Aggregation, Market Power, and Economic Transformation through Public Procurement.” Industry, Infrastructures, and Innovation for Strategic Transformation.
World Bank. 2026. “Carbon Pricing Implementation Support in Moldova: Summary Report.” Washington, DC: World Bank Group. Role: lead author.
World Bank. 2025. “Country Climate and Development Report: Moldova.” Washington, DC: World Bank Group. Role: co-author.
World Bank. 2025. “Country Climate and Development Report: Poland.” Washington, DC: World Bank Group. Role: co-author.
Pollin, R., S. Chakraborty & G. Semieniuk. 2025. “Phasing out Fossil Fuel Subsidies for the Green Transition: Financing and Distributional Prospects.” Political Economy Research Institute.
World Bank. 2024. “Clean Tech Value Chains: Using Trade Data to Guide a Complex Policy Space.” EU Regular Economic Report. Washington, DC: World Bank Group. Role: lead author.
Achakulwisut, P., G. Muttitt, G. Semieniuk & G. Trencher. 2023. “Insight 2: A Rapid and Managed Fossil Fuel Phase-Out Is Required to Stay within the Paris Agreement Target Range.” In 10 New Insights in Climate Science 2023. Future Earth, The Earth League & WCRP.
Pollin, R., J. Wicks-Lim, S. Chakraborty, G. Semieniuk & C. Lala. 2023. “Employment Impacts of New U.S. Clean Energy, Manufacturing, and Infrastructure Laws.” Political Economy Research Institute.
Semieniuk, G. & R. Pollin. 2023. “Employment Creation through Green Locomotive Manufacturing at Wabtec’s Erie, Pennsylvania Facility.” Political Economy Research Institute.
Pollin, R., S. Chakraborty, C. Lala & G. Semieniuk. 2022. “State-by-State Job Creation Estimates Through Inflation Reduction Act.” Political Economy Research Institute.
Pollin, R., J. Wicks-Lim, S. Chakraborty, G. Semieniuk & J. Yoon. 2022. “A Green Economy Transition Program for South Korea.” Political Economy Research Institute. Translated to Korean.
Pollin, R., J. Wicks-Lim, S. Chakraborty & G. Semieniuk. 2022. “Employment Impacts through Decarbonization in the San Diego Region.” In San Diego Regional Decarbonization Report. SDG Policy Initiative.
Pollin, R., S. Chakraborty, C. Kline & G. Semieniuk. 2021. “Impact of the U.S. THRIVE Program at Congressional District Levels.” Political Economy Research Institute.
Pollin, R., J. Wicks-Lim, S. Chakraborty, C. Kline & G. Semieniuk. 2021. “A Program for Economic Recovery and Clean Energy Transition in California.” Political Economy Research Institute.
Pollin, R., J. Wicks-Lim, S. Chakraborty, G. Semieniuk & C. Lala. 2021. “State-Level Employment Impacts of Proposed National THRIVE Agenda.” Political Economy Research Institute.
Pollin, R., J. Wicks-Lim, S. Chakraborty & G. Semieniuk. 2021. “Impacts of the Reimagine Appalachia & Clean Energy Transition Programs for West Virginia.” Political Economy Research Institute.
Pollin, R., J. Wicks-Lim, S. Chakraborty & G. Semieniuk. 2020. “Impacts of the Reimagine Appalachia & Clean Energy Transition Programs for Pennsylvania.” Political Economy Research Institute.
Pollin, R., J. Wicks-Lim, S. Chakraborty & G. Semieniuk. 2020. “Impacts of the Reimagine Appalachia & Clean Energy Transition Programs for Ohio.” Political Economy Research Institute.
Pollin, R., J. Wicks-Lim, S. Chakraborty & G. Semieniuk. 2020. “A Program for Economic Recovery and Clean Energy Transition in Maine.” Political Economy Research Institute.
Mazzucato, M., G. Semieniuk & J. Watson. 2015. “What Will It Take to Get Us a Green Revolution?” Sussex Energy Policy Brief.

Datasets

Semieniuk, G. 2023. “Data and Figure Code for Inconsistent Definitions of GDP: Implications for Estimates of Decoupling.” Zenodo.
Semieniuk, G., L. Chancel & E. Saïsset. 2023. “Data and Figure Code for Potential Pension Fund Losses Should Not Deter High-Income Countries from Bold Climate Action.” Zenodo.
Semieniuk, G., J. Ghosh & N. Folbre. 2023. “Figure Data and Code Used in Technical Comment on ‘Fairness Considerations in Global Mitigation Investments’.” Zenodo.
Brockway, P., M. Heun & G. Semieniuk. 2022. “Calculation Data Sheets for the Rebound Case Study Examples Used in the Energy Journal Article: Energetic and Economic Aspects of Rebound, Part II.” University of Leeds.
Semieniuk, G., P. Holden, J.-F. Mercure, P. Salas, H. Pollitt, K. Jobson, P. Vercoulen, U. Chewpreecha, N. Edwards & J. Viñuales. 2022. “Figure Data and Model Used in Stranded Fossil-Fuel Assets Translate to Major Losses for Investors in Advanced Economies.” Zenodo.
Brockway, P., G. Semieniuk & E. Aramendia. 2021. “Datasets for Energy Efficiency and Economy-Wide Rebound Effects: A Review of the Evidence and Its Implications.” University of Leeds.
Semieniuk, G. 2021. “Primary Energy Demand and GDP per Capita for Most Countries of the World, 1950–2014.” UK Data Service.